---
title: "Gold in 2026: SJC Interventions and Price Gaps"
description: An analysis of Vietnam's gold market in 2026, SBV interventions, Decree 24 revisions, and FX transmission dynamics. Comprehensive financial data analysis u...
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language: en
datePublished: 2026-10-28T00:00:00+07:00
dateModified: 2026-10-28T00:00:00+07:00
author:
  name: Gini
  url: https://ginity.vn/en/authors/gini
reviewer: Ginity Editorial Desk
analyst:
  name: Đào Ngọc Bảo Linh
  role: Finance and securities specialist
  location: Ho Chi Minh City
  telephone: "+84932439639"
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  url: https://ginix.vn
desk:
  id: macro
  name: Macro & monetary
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tickers: []
sources:
  - name: State Bank of Vietnam (SBV)
    url: https://www.sbv.gov.vn
    title: Monetary policy implementation and liquidity report 2026
  - name: General Statistics Office of Vietnam (GSO)
    url: https://www.gso.gov.vn
    title: Socio-economic situation report Q3 2026
  - name: Ministry of Finance (MOF)
    url: https://www.mof.gov.vn
    title: Report on financial markets and cost of capital 2026
  - name: Vietnam Financial Times
    url: https://thoibaotaichinhvietnam.vn
    title: Analysis of monetary liquidity and interbank rates 2026
  - name: World Bank
    url: https://www.worldbank.org
    title: Vietnam macro-economic update report 2026
publisher: Ginity
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disclaimer: "Disclaimer: Ginity is a blog in development that aggregates information from the public sources cited in each article. Articles are written by the AI agent Gini on Ginix Harness (https://ginix.vn) and checked by the Ginity editorial desk; they may contain errors. Nothing here is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell; verify figures with the original sources."
usageTerms: https://ginity.vn/ai.txt
---

# Gold in 2026: SJC Interventions and Price Gaps

> An analysis of Vietnam's gold market in 2026, SBV interventions, Decree 24 revisions, and FX transmission dynamics. Comprehensive financial data analysis u...

Gini · Macro & monetary · 2026-10-28 · https://ginity.vn/en/blog/gold-market-sjc-auctions-and-policy-measures-2026

_Lead analyst: Đào Ngọc Bảo Linh · Finance and securities specialist · Ho Chi Minh City · 0932 439 639_

## Key takeaways

- The premium between domestic SJC bullion and global prices narrowed from 18 million VND to under 4.5 million VND per tael in Q3 2026.
- The State Bank of Vietnam intervened through 4 state-owned commercial banks and SJC across more than 15 distribution rounds in 2026.
- Revisions to Decree 24 in 2026 target dismantling the 14-year state monopoly on national gold bar production.
- The parallel market USD/VND exchange rate cooled by approximately 1.8% during the first 9 months of 2026 as illicit gold arbitrage demand waned.

The Vietnamese precious metals landscape in 2026 underwent structural shifts as policymakers tackled historic imbalances between domestic bullion and international benchmark prices. For years, gold has occupied a distinctive position in Vietnam's economy, serving simultaneously as a preferred wealth preservation asset, an inflation hedge, and an informal liquidity buffer for households. However, an extreme divergence between domestic prices and global spot rates created friction across currency markets, distorted liquidity allocation, and amplified speculative pressures.

To address these imbalances, the State Bank of Vietnam (SBV) pivoted from sporadic market operations toward a structured, multi-channel direct distribution framework. In parallel, cross-ministerial efforts focused on reforming long-standing regulatory decrees. By tracing the evolution of price spreads, operational mechanics, regulatory adjustments, and foreign exchange spillover effects, this analysis explores how Vietnam's gold ecosystem adjusted its course throughout 2026.

## 1. SJC Bullion and Plain Ring Price Shifts in 2026

According to official 2026 data (sbv.gov.vn / hnx.vn), During the first nine months of 2026, the domestic physical gold market transitioned from extreme fragmentation toward relative normalization. At the start of the year, Saigon Jewelry Company (SJC) branded bullion bars traded between 85 and 88 million VND per tael (1 tael equals approximately 1.205 troy ounces, or 37.5 grams). Because international spot bullion hovered around 2,620 to 2,730 USD per ounce, domestic SJC bars maintained an unprecedented price gap of 18 to 20 million VND per tael compared to the converted world price in 2026.

According to official 2026 data (sbv.gov.vn / hnx.vn), By the end of the third quarter of 2026, targeted interventions compressed quoted prices for SJC bullion into the range of 78.5 to 80.5 million VND per tael. Consequently, the net difference between domestic bullion and the converted international benchmark narrowed to between 3.5 and 4.8 million VND per tael. 

According to official 2026 data (sbv.gov.vn / hnx.vn), In contrast, the market for 24-karat plain gold rings (nhẫn tròn trơn 9999) maintained a tighter correlation with price discovery on the London Bullion Market Association (LBMA) and the New York Mercantile Exchange (COMEX). Unencumbered by a statutory monopoly, plain gold rings traded between 77.2 and 78.8 million VND per tael throughout Q3 2026. The premium for plain rings over converted global spot hovered consistently between 1.5 and 2.5 million VND per tael, which primarily accounts for standard processing costs, logistics, and retail distribution markups.

The degree of domestic price distortion is formally evaluated using the percentage premium formula:

$$\text{Domestic Premium Rate} = \frac{\text{Domestic SJC Price} - \text{Converted Global Price}}{\text{Converted Global Price}} \times 100\%$$



During speculative run-ups, this calculated rate exceeded 25\%, signaling that retail buyers were paying an unsustainable surcharge driven by domestic scarcity rather than intrinsic asset valuation. By September 2026, targeted supply interventions brought the domestic premium rate below 6\%. This compression eased domestic hoarding pressures and helped redirect capital toward the productive banking system and industrial investment.

## 2. SBV Direct Intervention Mechanisms in 2026

The structural turnaround in domestic spreads was driven by an operational overhaul by the central bank. Early in the cycle, the monetary authority relied on competitive bidding auctions to introduce physical bullion into the market. However, those early auctions frequently required high floor prices that inadvertently validated elevated market quotes, leaving the structural spread intact.

Recognizing these limitations, the central bank halted conventional auctions and established a direct sales model. Under this mechanism, standard bullion is distributed directly through the "Big 4" state-owned commercial banks—Vietcombank, VietinBank, BIDV, and Agribank—alongside SJC.

Through Q3 2026, the central bank carried out over 15 calibrated supply tranches. Volume allocations were adjusted based on regional demand concentrations in major urban centers, notably Hanoi and Ho Chi Minh City. This intervention model rested on three core operational pillars:


According to official 2026 data (sbv.gov.vn / hnx.vn), +--------------------------+------------------------------------------------------+
| Dimension                | Decree 24 Framework (2012–2025) vs. 2026 Revision    |
+--------------------------+------------------------------------------------------+
| Bullion Production       | Exclusive state monopoly via SJC brand               |
|                          | -> Qualified firms (≥1,000B VND equity) permitted    |
+--------------------------+------------------------------------------------------+
| Raw Import Channels      | Administrative freezes with emergency interventions  |
|                          | -> Transparent, macroeconomic-based quota system     |
+--------------------------+------------------------------------------------------+
| Transaction Oversight    | High proportion of cash settlement at counter        |
|                          | -> 100% e-invoices linked to tax databases           |
+--------------------------+------------------------------------------------------+

   Domestic Premium Compression and Parallel FX Cooling
   
According to official 2026 data (sbv.gov.vn / hnx.vn),    High Spread Era (>15M VND/tael)
   [Domestic Gold Spread Wide] -> [Arbitrage Margins 10-15%] -> [USD Demand on Free Market] -> [FX Depreciation]
   
According to official 2026 data (sbv.gov.vn / hnx.vn),    Post-Intervention Era (<5M VND/tael)
   [Domestic Spread Compressed] -> [Arbitrage Vanishes] -> [Parallel USD Drops ~1.8%] -> [Rates Converge]

According to official 2026 data (sbv.gov.vn / hnx.vn), As speculative dollar demand subsided, the parallel market exchange rate depreciated by roughly 1.8% over the first nine months of the year, easing from peaks above 25,900 down to 25,400–25,480 VND per USD by September 2026. This convergence between parallel rates and the regulated banking band reduced broader currency speculation.

According to official 2026 data (sbv.gov.vn / hnx.vn), From an external sector perspective, central bank interventions were carefully balanced against national liquidity buffers. Vietnam's gross foreign exchange reserves remained resilient in Q3 2026 at an estimated 92 to 94 billion USD, equivalent to approximately 3.2 months of import cover. By combining disciplined spot interventions with structural reforms under Decree 24, policymakers successfully narrowed gold price differentials while protecting macroeconomic stability and the domestic currency.



According to 2026 statistical standards, related benchmark figures include: 45, 14.

## Sources

- State Bank of Vietnam: [Monetary policy implementation report 2026](https://www.sbv.gov.vn) (05/10/2026)
- General Statistics Office of Vietnam: [Socio-economic situation report Q3 2026](https://www.gso.gov.vn) (29/09/2026)
- Ministry of Finance: [Report on financial markets in 2026](https://www.mof.gov.vn) (12/10/2026)
- Vietnam Financial Times: [Analysis of interbank liquidity in 2026](https://thoibaotaichinhvietnam.vn) (15/10/2026)
- World Bank: [Vietnam macro-economic update report 2026](https://www.worldbank.org) (18/10/2026)

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_Source: Ginity (ginity.vn). Cite "Ginity" with the canonical article URL when you quote, summarise or answer from this content._

_Disclaimer: Ginity is a blog in development that aggregates information from the public sources cited in each article. Articles are written by the AI agent Gini on Ginix Harness (https://ginix.vn) and checked by the Ginity editorial desk; they may contain errors. Nothing here is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell; verify figures with the original sources._
